Property Price Register · Updated 2026-09-27

What's the market doing
in your county?

A 6-month price forecast for every Irish county, built from official Property Price Register sales data — shown as a probability range, not a fake-precise single number, because that's what an honest forecast actually looks like.

Carlow
Median price as of 2026-08 · 80 months of register data
+18.5% YoY
€320,000
€194,929 €354,859 €514,788 now +6mo
6-month range: €216,031 – €493,686 (median €325,488)
Forecast method validated on 43 out-of-sample months — 8.5% average error vs 10.2% for a naive "last month's price" guess.
GBM Monte Carlo (2000 paths), drift/vol calibrated on trailing monthly log-returns, drift shrunk 50% toward zero. Not investment or property advice -- decision-support only. See validation.model_mape for out-of-sample accuracy where available. Source: Property Price Register, Property Services Regulatory Authority.

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